New Year, New System

Yep, it's back to a long-lost topic of ours on here - the punt!

Since moving to Kupang, and frankly for the impoverished two years before that, my goal of developing a winning punting system and starting the long journey towards becoming a professional punter, has been put on hold.

Recently, because of our useless funding system at work, I have had little to do. I probably work 2-3 days maximum of my 5 day week. So that leaves me two days in which to fart-arse around, read, write, game, or punt. I was reading through some of the old Race Rate info the other day (RIP Peter, fabulous job setting up that site when you were alive), and one article in particular piqued my interest.

Overall, I find RR's systems aren't that flash for me, but they DO give me a lot of good ideas. I had worked out the throes of my own system in 2015/16, but it wasn't perfect. Reading a couple of Peter's articles gave me an idea of a way to put a different slant on my own system, one that was quite simple to introduce. So I did that, and last week ran a trial. Let's call my system Super 12's.

Without giving the game away, it's pretty simple. It relies on using a lot of the work of the market in finding favourites, then applying rigourous analysis to these favourites, to decide which ones to back. However, I am suspect about this applying across the board, so as well as the basic rule set, I am looking at maidens, horses with less than 3 starts, and where the race is (metro, suburban or country).

So the results are in. As usual, this system can work, but it all relies on the staking approach. Again, if I apply my own variant of Peter's 0.33% per bet system, all in returns 43% over the week long period of the trial, and metro only returns 12.5%. Metro had 64% SR compared to all in of 59%. But the key stat is that both had a maximum run of outs of 4.

Right, so basically if we want a long-term approach we could say go Metro only, as that would still return massively, but only require 2-3 days work per week. Whereas the other system returns faster but requires daily effort. Seeing as this week is going to be quiet, I am going to do a repeat of last week, and see if the results are similar. If they are, it might be time for a live trial.... Watch this space.